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NEW POLLING: Oregonian opposition to Trans-Pacific Partnership, Fast Track Authority could pose reelection risk to Senator Ron Wyden

BURLINGTON, VT -- Oregon’s U.S. Senator Ron Wyden could face challenges in his new 2016 reelection fight if he votes with Senate Republicans in favor of the job-killing Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the so-called “Fast Track” Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) many in Washington believe is needed for passing it.  

According to the new poll conducted by Public Policy Polling (PPP) on behalf of Democracy for America, half (50%) of all Oregon voters would be less likely to vote for Senator Wyden in his 2016 reelection if he voted for fast track authority and the TPP. (results below)

Senator Wyden is widely believed to be one of the Senate Democrats most likely to work with Republicans and the White House to secure passage of TPA and the TPP.  However, according to PPP’s new polling, 63% of Oregonians oppose the TPP and a startling 73% oppose giving the president authority to ram trade deals through Congress without broad public debate or amendments.

Oregon voters’ opposition to the TPP shouldn’t be that surprising, especially since, according to the PPP poll, nearly two out of three voters (61%) believe that past free trade agreements, like the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), have cost the United States jobs.

In fact, even after being exposed to the best arguments both for and against fast-track authority and the NAFTA-style TPP, 57% of Oregonians stood with those opposing the agreement.  

The good news for Wyden?  While he’s viewed as a key pick-up opportunity for the corporate lobbyists pushing to pass fast-track authority and the TPP, he still has a chance to represent Oregonians’ opposition in Washington.  And, if he does, he stands to benefit electorally:  43% of those surveyed saying that, if Wyden joins with progressives, like Senator Elizabeth Warren or Oregon’s other Democratic Senator Jeff Merkley, in opposing the job-killing TPP and the authority needed pass it, they’d be more likely to help reelect him in 2016.

Quote, if helpful:

"Senator Ron Wyden can either stand with the Republicans who want to pass the job-killing Trans-Pacific Partnership or he can stand with the people of Oregon who oppose it, but he can’t do both.

“Senator Wyden might believe that this time will be different, that this time a NAFTA-style trade agreement like the TPP won’t cost the U.S. jobs.  But Oregon voters know better and, as these results make clear, not listening to them may cost Senator Wyden next year." -- Charles Chamberlain, Executive Director, Democracy for America

Additional Information about Democracy for America (DFA):

  • DFA has a national progressive political action committee with 24,892 members in Oregon and 1 million members nationwide.

  • Since DFA's 2004 founding by Gov. Howard Dean, DFA members have injected more than $32.7 million and made more than 10.1 million volunteer calls to help successfully elect 806 progressive candidates across the country.

Polling

Poll of 537 Oregon voters conducted by Public Policy Polling (PPP) on behalf of Democracy for America from Feb. 16-17, 2015 (MOE 4.2%) :

Based on what you know, do you think that free trade agreements between the United States and other countries like the North American Free Trade Agreement or NAFTA help create more jobs in the United States, or do you think they cost the United States jobs?

Create More Jobs in the US ............................ 22%
Cost the US Jobs............................................ 61%
Not sure.......................................................... 16%

Currently, the Obama administration is negotiating a new, NAFTA-style free trade agreement called the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or TPP. The TPP is one of the largest trade agreements ever negotiated and includes the United States and 11 other countries like Vietnam, Mexico and Malaysia.

Would you say your view of this trade agreement is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable?

TOTAL FAVORABLE…………………………………..... 31%
Very Favorable .......................... 11%
Somewhat Favorable…............... 20%

 TOTAL UNFAVORABLE………………………………... 63%
Somewhat Unfavorable  ............ 27%
Very Unfavorable........................ 36%

Not Sure ................................................................................. 6%

The president has asked Congress for something called "fast-track authority" which allows the administration to negotiate NAFTA-style trade agreements like the TPP with other countries without any input from Democrats or Republicans in Congress. It also requires Congress to then hold an up-or-down vote on the agreement without making any amendments or changes -- no matter what's in it.

Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose Congress giving the president fast-track authority for the NAFTA-style trade agreements like the TPP?

TOTAL FAVOR…………………………………………….... 25%
Strongly Favor........................... 12%
Somewhat Favor....................... 13%

TOTAL OPPOSE…………………………………………..... 73%
Somewhat Oppose .................. 12%
Strongly Oppose ...................... 61%

Not Sure.............................................................................. 3%

Now, I will read you two statements about fast track authority and the TPP and then ask you which statement is closer to your opinion.

Supporters of passing fast track authority and the TPP say that free trade has been good for America and will create millions of jobs in the United States while ensuring that important environmental and labor standards are protected.

Opponents of passing fast track authority and the TPP say it will cost American jobs by making it easier for corporations to send jobs overseas and put our health at risk by reducing food safety standards, while allowing corporations to pay foreign workers wages as low as 56-cents an hour.

What statement do you agree with more?

TOTAL AGREE WITH SUPPORTERS…………………………………. 30%
Strongly Agree with Supporters ...................... 15%
Somewhat Agree with Supporters .................. 15%

TOTAL AGREE WITH OPPONENTS…………………………………… 57%
Somewhat Agree with Opponents ................... 19%
Strongly Agree with Opponents ...................... 38%

Not Sure .............................................................................................. 14%

If Oregon’s U.S. Senator Ron Wyden voted with Republicans in favor of fast-track authority and the TPP, would you be much more likely, somewhat make more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for him in his 2016 reelection or would it not make a difference? 
 TOTAL MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR WYDEN …………………...… 21%
Much More Likely to Vote For Wyden ................. 8%
Somewhat More Likely to Vote For Wyden….... 13%

 TOTAL LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR WYDEN ………………….…. 50%
Somewhat Less Likely to Vote for Wyden ....... 22%
Much Less Likely to Vote for Wyden ................. 28%

Would Not Make a Difference ............................................................. 25%
Not Sure ................................................................................................ 4%

If Oregon Senator Ron Wyden stood with Senator Jeff Merkley and Senator Elizabeth Warren in opposing fast-track authority and the TPP, would you be much more likely, somewhat make more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for him in his 2016 reelection or would it not make a difference?

TOTAL MORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR WYDEN ……………….....… 43%
Much More Likely to Vote For Wyden ............ 28%
Somewhat More Likely to Vote for Wyden ..... 15%

TOTAL LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR WYDEN ………………….…. 27%
Somewhat Less Likely to Vote for Wyden .... 12%
Much Less Likely to Vote for Wyden ............. 15%

Wouldn't Make a Difference Either Way .......................................... 26%

Not Sure ............................................................................................. 5%

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CONTACT: Neil Sroka, 847-219-8491, [email protected]
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Categories: Press Releases


FINAL RESULTS: Draft Elizabeth Warren? 87.6% vote YES!

The votes are in and Democracy for America members are speaking out loud and clear:

RUN WARREN RUN! 

The results are stunning. Doubling down on MoveOn's 81.3% member vote, 87.6% of DFA members voted in favor of launching a campaign to draft Elizabeth Warren for president.

So that's exactly what we're going to do. And it starts today.

Shortly after the poll closed on Tuesday and our member vote was official, DFA Electoral Director Annie Weinberg jumped on a plane to Iowa to join MoveOn and Ready for Warren for a Run Warren Run kickoff meeting tonight in Des Moines.

We also announced that we're investing an additional $250,000 in the first stage of this campaign to expand -- in collaboration with MoveOn -- the effort of building an unprecedented people-powered Run Warren Run campaign.

As a Senator, Elizabeth Warren is forcing the Democratic Party to take on income inequality. As a presidential candidate, she could make the fight against income inequality a critical part of the 2016 platform -- no matter who wins the nomination. And, as President, no one else would be better prepared to rally the nation to fix the income inequality crisis than Elizabeth Warren.

America needs Elizabeth Warren to run for president. But she isn't going to run just because we announce a campaign to draft her. She needs to hear from DFA members like you. It's time to let her know what you think.

Run Warren Run! Sign the petition now: Ask Elizabeth Warren to run for president. 

This isn't the first time there's been a campaign to draft Elizabeth Warren. It took a grassroots movement to convince her to run for U.S. Senate in 2012. We can do it again -- this time for the White House.

In fact, as recently as Monday morning, Sen. Warren refused to rule out a future bid for the presidency. She has only said that she’s not a candidate "right now."

Of course, that's true of everybody else. No Democrat has yet announced their campaign for the presidency. It's still a wide open race. That's why this is exactly the right time to draft Warren.

Regardless of what Warren decides to do, the Run Warren Run movement will help Sen. Warren be more effective in Congress -- according to DC insiders like Chris Cilizza at the Washington Post:

Let's say Warren absolutely does not want to run for president and won't be persuaded no matter what happens in the world over the next three to six months. Okay, fine. It still does her NO good to definitively rule out running right now because the second she does that, the huge national media spotlight will begin roving elsewhere -- limiting Warren's influence.

At the moment, there is no story bigger in politics than what Warren will do. She can use that attention to push her pet issues -- restricting corporate America and addressing income inequality.She did just that last week with her loudly-declared opposition to the omnibus bill because of its loosening of some derivative trading rules on corporations. Warren's power is at its height nationally at the moment.It makes zero sense for her to pop that balloon herself.

Sen. Warren listens to the people -- it's one of the reasons we love her so much. So add your voice now by signing our petition: Run Warren Run! 

I do want to acknowledge the fact that not every DFA member voted this way. Some of you support other candidates for president. In fact, my brother Howard Dean is supporting Hillary Clinton, should she decide to run for president.

And that's OK, of course. Democrats and progressives are smart, passionate people who don't have to agree on who should become the next president. But we do agree that we need a Democratic candidate who will focus on fighting income inequality.

This isn't just about the White House either. A real grassroots movement starts from the bottom up. That's why DFA is going to:

  • Draft and support the next generation of Elizabeth Warren candidates at all levels of office in all 50 states. 
  • Build a broad coalition of candidates for Senate, U.S. House, state and local office who will stand with Warren in the fight against income inequality -- no matter what office she holds. 
  • Train the campaign staff and grassroots activists who can help Warren Wing Democrats achieve victory nationwide.

This could be a turning point in American history. It starts with Elizabeth Warren's leadership at the top of the ticket. But she isn't going to jump in the race unless DFA members like you step up and ask her to run.

Your voice can convince Sen. Warren to run for president. Let her know you want her to join the race and sign the petition: Run Warren Run! 

Thank you for stepping up to support DFA and MoveOn's plans for Run Warren Run. Now let's make history together.

- Jim

Jim Dean, Chair
Democracy for America

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Categories: Elections Endorsement


Bring on the Road-- Rick Weiland Sings his Campaign Strategy in South Dakota: Remove Big Money from Politics!

Rick Weiland, the South Dakota democratic candidate for Senate, is taking an unconventional campaign approach as he croons over a microphone, guitar in hand… “My vote is not for sale or rent.  I just wont listen to the 1%.  I am not campaigning in corporate jets. I am meeting voters in luncheonettes.”

The song is a cover of “King of the Road”, with the lyrics changed to match up with Weiland’s campaign message: Take the country back from big government money and special interest. Weiland has been traveling around the state in a mini-van determined to ask voters in person how they want to be represented (and sharing a few of his cover songs along the way).

“It’s time to get our country back on track, it’s time to get out there and Take it Back!  I am going everywhere I can...bring on the road!”




Weiland explains, “Government…used to be of, for, and by the people but now it is of, for, and by the corporations.”  To take it back the first step must be getting big money out of Washington.


Map of the 311 South Dakota towns where Weiland have visited.

If elected, Weiland would issue a constitutional amendment  “So that the vote of all, rather than the wealth of a few, shall direct the course of this Republic…”. As Weiland sings in his Johnny Cash cover song:  “Our country needs repair…got to make it all more fair.”


Recent polls show that Weiland is neck-and-neck with incumbent, Mike Round. In Weiland’s opinion big corporation may have power but they “…still can’t take away our vote, if we don’t let them!”  Watch Rick Weiland's most recent cover of Wagon Wheel and support his grassroots campaign to help take back the country from corporate greed.

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BACKLASH: Supreme Court doubles down on GOP's war on women

The Supreme Court just made another decision that sides with Corporations over the American People, and we could not be more outraged. Below the jump check out our message to DFA members. 


DFA Member --

I'm SO furious right now. This morning, the U.S. Supreme Court gave bosses across America the right to deny birth control access to their female employees. And on top of that, they made it nearly impossible for home healthcare workers to form and sustain a union.

Both of these decisions are further proof that conservatives are doubling down on their war on women: The first gives mostly male corporate executives power over whether or not working women can get the health care they need, and the second prevents predominantly female home healthcare workers from building any real power for themselves -- the kind of power that could lead to the job security and decent wages they deserve.

We need to put an END to the war on working women. That's why DFA has gone to the mat to support strong female candidates like Elizabeth Warren and Wendy Davis. As you know, we only support candidates who stand up for progressive values like women's rights. Period.

The Supreme Court's rulings today are a stark reminder that saving the Senate from GOP control -- and Republican obstruction of Supreme Court nominees should a vacancy on the court open up -- is EXTREMELY important. That's why DFA is going all in on holding the Senate in November.

When you give to DFA, it's not about just backing anyone with a "D" next to their name -- it's about supporting REAL progressive candidates and values. By contributing to DFA's electoral work, you send a message that you stand for true progressives who are willing to take bold positions on the issues that matter.

Will you donate $3 to DFA now so we can help elect more progressive Democrats like Elizabeth Warren this November? FEC DEADLINE: MIDNIGHT! 


Thanks for standing by us when it matters most,

- Karli

Karli Wallace, Campaign Organizer
Democracy for America
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BREAKING: Democracy for America statement opposing U.S. military involvement in Iraq

A statement from Democracy for America's Executive Director Charles Chamberlain opposing U.S. military involvement on the growing, sectarian civil war in Iraq:

"President Obama was right to end the Iraq War in 2011, and it would be a tremendous mistake to restart it now. Democracy for America members support President Obama's decision not to put American boots on the ground and we urge the President and Congress to reject any increased U.S. military involvement, including airstrikes, in this growing, sectarian civil war."

Opposition to George W. Bush's tragic, misguided war in Iraq brought Democracy for America's one million members together in 2004 and guided our support for President Obama through two presidential elections. Rather than debating bombing runs, now is the time for the United States to bring the international community together to push Prime Minister Maliki to build an inclusive government that will help deescalate this sectarian conflict." -- Charles Chamberlain, Executive Director, Democracy for America

Democracy for America is a national progressive political organization, founded in 2004 by Gov. Howard Dean, with 1 million members nationwide.

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