Lit Drop Saturday at noon-Perspective on polls-race a toss up

Written by: Carol Olszewski on Oct 20, 2006 10:00 PM EDT

OK fellow agitators, organizers and rabble rousers--we're in the home stretch and a few more hours of volunteer work from each of us can bring so much joy to us and the country for months to come. In doing so, we will save ourselves lots of future aggravation, regret and the country much harm. If we get Kirsten and other Dems elected to Congress we can restore some balance and moderation to the federal government and stop the crazed radical right wing take over of our country and it's values.

Please try to make it to the Clifton Park Labor Walk/canvass for Kirsten tomorrow at noon at the Park and Ride on the West Side of the Northway off of Exit 8. If you can't make that, try to clear as much of your calendar for these final 18 days or so to help with phone banks, canvassing, literature drops and the critical Get Out the Vote Drive for November 7th. If you can't make any--get out your check book or credit card and make the biggest donation you can.

Your efforts these next few days can help ensure that the man W calls "Mr. Kick Ass" for his role in stopping the Florida recount with his goon squad get his own A-- kicked into retirement!!

New York Times has 15 races currently ranked as a "TOSS UP". Gillibrand is one of them. Go team Go!
www.nytimes.com/ref/washington/2...



Encouraging news from Zach!!

Volunteers and Supporters: We have a TON of momentum that has built in the last month and its only going to continue towards get-out-the-votetime in just over 2 weeks.

There have been a lot of polls that just hit the media the last week and the Sienna poll has gotten the most attention in the last 24 hours. I wanted to send a quick note to allay any worry about this poll showing a hard to believe 14 point lead for John Sweeney.

There are several reasons not to be concerned.



1. This poll was one of 6 polls released this week. It is the only one showing us down any significant amount. We are equally doubtful of the Majority Watch poll reported in the Times Union which shows up leading John Sweeney by 13 points.

2. This is the first year Sienna is doing congressional race polling. Unlike any other poll done this year, they over sample republicans based on a difference between what party people say they are affiliated with and how they are actually affiliated.

Think about how Oklahoma has twice as many registered Democrats as Republicans but there hasn't been a Democrat in a statewide office since the mid-70's. By Sienna's method of weighting, George Bush would have won the 20th congressional district in '04 with over 70% of the vote. With a 2:1 Republican registration advantage he only won it with 53%.

3. Most of all, the Republicans don't believe it! The NRCC, who tried to make us believe this wasn't a priority race for them are only now pouring money in to the race on his behalf. Both parties are spending upwards of $1 million on the race. No one is under the impression this isn't going to come down to the wire.


In short, with polls all over the map, the only one that matters is the free poll on Nov 7th. Thanks to everyone for all the great support. We're already at 3 times the campaign's initial goals for voter outreach for the entire campaign, making us the best organized operation in the state, if not the country. If you have been in to the office making calls you know what the true race dynamics are.

Keep making calls and knocking on doors and if you haven't singed up for GOTV action for the weekend before the election and on election day get in touch. You know i'll be calling.

Thanks again to everyone. Its going to be an intense 18 days but when all is said and done we'll have a true blue NY.

ZACH

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Zach Hollander

Also carpool from Stuyvesant Plaza in front of Starbucks at 11am Sunday for canvass in Rhinebeck.
Carol

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Location: Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY 12201